Forecast for Export Growth to the United States in 2025

Forecast for Export Growth to the United States in 2025

The year 2025 promises to be a period of robust growth in trade relations between Vietnam and the United States, with total export turnover projected to reach approximately USD 125 to 130 billion. According to experts, Vietnam’s key export sectors, such as textiles and garments, wooden handicrafts, electronic machinery, and agricultural products, are expected to maintain positive growth momentum.

The textile and garment industry is anticipated to achieve USD 25 billion in export value, driven by rising demand for high-quality and environmentally friendly products.

Wooden handicrafts, which hold strong growth potential, are forecast to reach USD 10 billion, marking a growth rate of over 20% compared to 2024. The growing trend among U.S. consumers toward sustainable and recycled furniture continues to be a significant driving force for this sector.

Additionally, high-tech products, such as electronic components and telecommunications equipment, are expected to make substantial contributions to total export turnover, with values projected to increase by 15–18%. This growth is attributed to expanded production by major corporations such as Samsung, Intel, and LG.

Agricultural and aquatic products, including key items like shrimp, pangasius, and cashew nuts, are forecast to exceed USD 7 billion in export value. The industry’s stability in product quality and its ability to meet the stringent food safety standards of the United States are key factors supporting its continued growth.

Other products, such as rubber and steel, are also expected to maintain steady growth, playing important roles in the industrial supply chain of the United States.

Analyses indicate that Vietnam will continue to benefit from the global supply chain shift, with the country being considered an attractive destination due to competitive labor costs, favorable investment conditions, and increasingly advanced production capabilities. The shift in U.S. consumer preferences toward sustainable products opens significant opportunities for Vietnamese enterprises to innovate production and enhance supply chain value.

However, achieving these ambitious export goals requires Vietnamese businesses to address and overcome several major challenges. U.S. trade defense measures, particularly in sectors like textiles and steel, may increase pressure on exporters. Additionally, compliance with ESG standards and intense competition from regional rivals such as China, Bangladesh, and India necessitate significant investments in technology and innovation to maintain competitive advantages.

With a strong foundation built on comprehensive strategic partnerships and opportunities from global trends, Vietnam’s exports to the United States in 2025 are poised to bring significant economic benefits while further cementing the country’s role in the global supply chain. By effectively capitalizing on opportunities and addressing challenges, Vietnam can achieve remarkable progress, opening a promising new chapter in its trade cooperation with the United States.